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	<title>Comments on: AOL to Spin Off Dec. 9, Begin Trading Dec. 10 (Plus Full Press Release)</title>
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		<title>By: FateMaster Tech News &#187; AOL: Puff Daddy Parties and Cockroaches on NPR [BoomTown]</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-20683</link>
		<dc:creator>FateMaster Tech News &#187; AOL: Puff Daddy Parties and Cockroaches on NPR [BoomTown]</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Dec 2009 14:02:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-20683</guid>
		<description>[...] is winging across the country right now to New York City to attend, among other things, the analog version of the AOL spin-off from Time Warner [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] is winging across the country right now to New York City to attend, among other things, the analog version of the AOL spin-off from Time Warner [...]</p>
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		<title>By: AOL: Puff Daddy Parties and Cockroaches on NPR [BoomTown] &#124; TECHNICK</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-20678</link>
		<dc:creator>AOL: Puff Daddy Parties and Cockroaches on NPR [BoomTown] &#124; TECHNICK</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Dec 2009 13:11:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-20678</guid>
		<description>[...] is winging across the country right now to New York City to attend, among other things, the analog version of the AOL spin off from Time Warner [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] is winging across the country right now to New York City to attend, among other things, the analog version of the AOL spin off from Time Warner [...]</p>
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		<title>By: AOL: Puff Daddy Parties and Cockroaches on NPR &#124; Kara Swisher &#124; BoomTown &#124; AllThingsD</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-20677</link>
		<dc:creator>AOL: Puff Daddy Parties and Cockroaches on NPR &#124; Kara Swisher &#124; BoomTown &#124; AllThingsD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Dec 2009 13:11:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-20677</guid>
		<description>[...] is winging across the country right now to New York City to attend, among other things, the analog version of the AOL spin off from Time Warner [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] is winging across the country right now to New York City to attend, among other things, the analog version of the AOL spin off from Time Warner [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Meet the New AOL: &#8220;Aol.&#8221; &#124; Peter Kafka &#124; MediaMemo &#124; AllThingsD</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19711</link>
		<dc:creator>Meet the New AOL: &#8220;Aol.&#8221; &#124; Peter Kafka &#124; MediaMemo &#124; AllThingsD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 02:51:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19711</guid>
		<description>[...] new AOL will differ than the old one in several ways: New boss, smaller headcount, different owners. So it gets a new logo, too. This one will look awfully familiar, and if you&#8217;re not paying [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] new AOL will differ than the old one in several ways: New boss, smaller headcount, different owners. So it gets a new logo, too. This one will look awfully familiar, and if you&#8217;re not paying [...]</p>
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		<title>By: FateMaster Tech News &#187; Weekend Update 11.21.09- The House of Cards Edition [Digital Daily]</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19671</link>
		<dc:creator>FateMaster Tech News &#187; Weekend Update 11.21.09- The House of Cards Edition [Digital Daily]</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 22:01:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19671</guid>
		<description>[...] began Monday with some of the hard facts from the pending AOL-TimeWarner (TWX) split. Stock issued for the post-spinoff AOL places the company’s total implied value at [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] began Monday with some of the hard facts from the pending AOL-TimeWarner (TWX) split. Stock issued for the post-spinoff AOL places the company’s total implied value at [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Weekend Update 11.21.09- The House of Cards Edition &#124; Drake Martinet &#124; Digital Daily &#124; AllThingsD</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19664</link>
		<dc:creator>Weekend Update 11.21.09- The House of Cards Edition &#124; Drake Martinet &#124; Digital Daily &#124; AllThingsD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 20:32:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19664</guid>
		<description>[...] began Monday with some of the hard facts from the pending AOL-TimeWarner (TWX) split. Stock issued for the post-spinoff AOL places the company’s total implied value at [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] began Monday with some of the hard facts from the pending AOL-TimeWarner (TWX) split. Stock issued for the post-spinoff AOL places the company’s total implied value at [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: AOL seeks to shrink workforce by a third after spin-off &#124; cars burner</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19628</link>
		<dc:creator>AOL seeks to shrink workforce by a third after spin-off &#124; cars burner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Nov 2009 09:56:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19628</guid>
		<description>[...] severance packages to volunteers who step forward between Dec. 4 and Dec. 11. (The spin-off will take place Dec. 9.) If the reduction can&#8217;t be achieved solely through voluntary departures, the remainder will [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] severance packages to volunteers who step forward between Dec. 4 and Dec. 11. (The spin-off will take place Dec. 9.) If the reduction can&#8217;t be achieved solely through voluntary departures, the remainder will [...]</p>
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		<title>By: AOL Spins Off from Time Warner on Dec. 9 &#124; AdVantage SEO</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19472</link>
		<dc:creator>AOL Spins Off from Time Warner on Dec. 9 &#124; AdVantage SEO</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 02:33:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19472</guid>
		<description>[...] Warner and AOL has officially announced the details of their separation.  According to the official press release, come Dec. 9, 2009 Time Warner stockholders on record as of November 27, 2009 will receive one [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Warner and AOL has officially announced the details of their separation.  According to the official press release, come Dec. 9, 2009 Time Warner stockholders on record as of November 27, 2009 will receive one [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Robert Heath</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19471</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert Heath</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 23:04:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19471</guid>
		<description>Sorry, Kara, but Henry Blodgett&#039;s &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.businessinsider.com/henry-blodget-aol-spinoff-valuation-is-only-35-billion-2009-11&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;calculation&lt;/a&gt; of AOL&#039;s value that you link to is apparently based on Erick Schonfeld&#039;s &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/11/16/aol-spin-off-december-7-worth-3-4-billion/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;TechCrunch post&lt;/a&gt;, and they both make the invalid assumption that the distribution ratio of AOL stock to Time-Warner shareholders has something to do with value.  

The selection of the distribution ratio only determines the number of AOL shares that will be outstanding, but says nothing about their expected price.  You need both a share count and a share price to calculate value.  

While the Time-Warner board undoubtedly has its own guess how AOL will trade, the selection of the distribution ratio tells us nothing about AOL&#039;s value.  We&#039;ll know more when AOL shares begin trading on a when-issued basis on Nov. 24.

As for AOL&#039;s value last January, it was in fact somewhere between $2.5 and $3.5 billion, as calculated &lt;a href=&quot;http://roberthheath.blogspot.com/2009/07/aol-rip.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt; (see Notes 1 and 2.

Your valuation ($3.2 billion) is a reasonable estimate, but for the wrong reasons.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry, Kara, but Henry Blodgett&#8217;s <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/henry-blodget-aol-spinoff-valuation-is-only-35-billion-2009-11" rel="nofollow">calculation</a> of AOL&#8217;s value that you link to is apparently based on Erick Schonfeld&#8217;s <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/11/16/aol-spin-off-december-7-worth-3-4-billion/" rel="nofollow">TechCrunch post</a>, and they both make the invalid assumption that the distribution ratio of AOL stock to Time-Warner shareholders has something to do with value.  </p>
<p>The selection of the distribution ratio only determines the number of AOL shares that will be outstanding, but says nothing about their expected price.  You need both a share count and a share price to calculate value.  </p>
<p>While the Time-Warner board undoubtedly has its own guess how AOL will trade, the selection of the distribution ratio tells us nothing about AOL&#8217;s value.  We&#8217;ll know more when AOL shares begin trading on a when-issued basis on Nov. 24.</p>
<p>As for AOL&#8217;s value last January, it was in fact somewhere between $2.5 and $3.5 billion, as calculated <a href="http://roberthheath.blogspot.com/2009/07/aol-rip.html" rel="nofollow">here</a> (see Notes 1 and 2.</p>
<p>Your valuation ($3.2 billion) is a reasonable estimate, but for the wrong reasons.</p>
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		<title>By: AOL To Go Public On December 10th Without TMZ In The Portfolio</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19433</link>
		<dc:creator>AOL To Go Public On December 10th Without TMZ In The Portfolio</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 03:28:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19433</guid>
		<description>[...] AOL was trading in the NYSE before it merged with Time Warner back in the day too. The full press release is available after the [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] AOL was trading in the NYSE before it merged with Time Warner back in the day too. The full press release is available after the [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: AOL Spins Off from Time Warner on Dec. 9 &#124; Search Engine Journal</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19428</link>
		<dc:creator>AOL Spins Off from Time Warner on Dec. 9 &#124; Search Engine Journal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 01:39:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19428</guid>
		<description>[...] Warner and AOL has officially announced the details of their separation.  According to the official press release, come Dec. 9, 2009 Time Warner stockholders on record as of November 27, 2009 will receive one [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Warner and AOL has officially announced the details of their separation.  According to the official press release, come Dec. 9, 2009 Time Warner stockholders on record as of November 27, 2009 will receive one [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: AOL Set to Go It Alone ~ Revelations From An Unwashed Brain</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19425</link>
		<dc:creator>AOL Set to Go It Alone ~ Revelations From An Unwashed Brain</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 00:50:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19425</guid>
		<description>[...] story from AllThingsD give more of the nitty gritty on the move - AOL will officially be spun off from Time Warner on [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] story from AllThingsD give more of the nitty gritty on the move &#8211; AOL will officially be spun off from Time Warner on [...]</p>
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		<title>By: TechKive &#187; Blog Archive &#187; AOL To Spin Off December 9, Begin Trading December 10 (Plus Full Press Release) [BoomTown]</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/#comment-19416</link>
		<dc:creator>TechKive &#187; Blog Archive &#187; AOL To Spin Off December 9, Begin Trading December 10 (Plus Full Press Release) [BoomTown]</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 22:33:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://kara.allthingsd.com/?p=20661#comment-19416</guid>
		<description>[...] the rest here: AOL To Spin Off December 9, Begin Trading December 10 (Plus Full Press Release) [BoomTown]   Share and [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] the rest here: AOL To Spin Off December 9, Begin Trading December 10 (Plus Full Press Release) [BoomTown]   Share and [...]</p>
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