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All posts tagged ‘Blake Jorgensen’

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Yahoo: Time to Negotiate With Microsoft?

So, no surprise, according to multiple sources I talked to yesterday, the roadshow by top Yahoo execs–CEO and Co-Founder Jerry Yang, President Sue Decker and CFO Blake Jorgensen–to tout the new growth plan the company unveiled last week was not such a hit with shareholders.

While the group met with polite audiences, most investors I talked to were unenthusiastic about the plan and dubious that Yahoo’s blue-sky hopes would come through. “I think we wanted to give Jerry a hearing, but mostly to save face,” said one investor, in a sentiment that was typical.

What Yahoo (YHOO) was selling, of course, has been a plea for time from shareholders and a way to signal Microsoft (MSFT)–which made an unsolicited bid for the company in the beginning of February–that a price rise was needed to complete the deal. In addition, so far, no alternative offers have panned out.

chartyahoo

Thus, last week, Yahoo released information about its future prognosis, saying there would be no surprises for 2008 off guidance, strong gains in revenue and cash flow for 2009 and 2010 and a resulting share price closer to $40, $9 above the original $31 a share–the cash-and-stock offer is actually now worth about $29.50–offered by Microsoft. (See chart.)

Interesting, Microsoft has been unusually silent on Yahoo’s growth predictions, which to me signals: Unimpressed, not inclined to raise its price and increasingly bored waiting for the inevitable call to negotiate.

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But that call, I think, will now have to happen–even though I would bet my precious “Beverly Hills 90210″ pilot episode DVD (seen here!) that Microsoft’s Morgan Stanley (MS) bankers and Yahoo’s Goldman Sachs (GS) bankers have been secretly communicating for a while now.

(Morgan to Goldman: “Ignore what the left hand is doing–it will stop gesticulating wildly soon and we can begin bargaining and collect our big fat fees!”)

So do others: “I now give it 14 days,” said one person who has experience in merger back-and-forth Kabuki dances. “There are no more moves to delay this, although you have to give Yahoo credit for its efforts.”

Extra credit even! But is that all there is?

Some at Yahoo do not agree. One person close to the company noted that Yahoo’s situation is like that of financial software maker Intuit (INTU), which was not bought by the software giant in 1994.

“Remember what happened to their deal with Microsoft?” said the person.

Actually, I do. After a lot of behind-the-scenes pressure from Microsoft, Intuit Founder and CEO Scott Cook struck a deal with Microsoft’s Bill Gates in which the company got a 40% premium, or $1.5 billion in Microsoft stock.

That deal was only scuttled, when the Justice Department stepped in and threatened to file suit to stop the union.

Thus, Yahoo’s only hope is the Justice Department, defanged under the Bush administration and with the existence of a major online rival like Google (GOOG) to point to as competition?

It could happen, I guess. But, I would have to say: Count me dubious.

Please see this disclosure related to me and Google.

Monday, October 1, 2007

Day 76: The Yahoo Revival Meeting (Starring His Digital Holiness Steve Jobs)!

revival

What do you do when you want to inject a little inspiration into a company that needs a lot of it?

Do you hold an all-day meeting of top execs where you actually outline specific goals and exhibit better leadership?

Do you admit your corporate culture is a little weak and promise to focus on strengthening it?

Do you trot out all the senior execs and let them talk about their concrete plans (and, better still, actually prepare them to deliver their spiel with some level of quality)?

Do you do some post-lunch touchy-feely group exercises to get people talking?

Best of all, if you really want to send things over the top, do you bring out an icon so beloved as to give goosebumps to explain to the troops how he managed to turn his once-beleaguered and now-soaring company around?

oprahjobs

All that and more occurred on Friday at Yahoo HQ as CEO Jerry Yang and President Sue Decker really put on a show that seemed to resonate with the 300-plus top Yahoo executives (vice president and above) gathered there, capped by an appearance by Apple’s Steve Jobs, who is apparently now Silicon Valley’s equivalent of Oprah.

Most people I spoke with said they grudgingly started the day with very low expectations, but found they quickly warmed to a heartfelt but clearly articulated message by Yang and Decker of what Yahoo needed to do to revive itself.

“Our leaders finally showed some leadership,” said one longtime exec in attendance, who–like many Yahoos–has become extremely disheartened by the downward drift of the online giant of late. “Both Jerry and Sue actually obviously took time and care to think about what we should and, more importantly, should not be doing.”

Said another: “It was not as if there was some huge revelation, but a reminder of the great assets we have that makes our destiny all about execution.”

The day, organized by PR head Jill Nash and others with the help of San Francisco-based consulting firm Stone Yamashita Partners, also included talks led by top Yahoo brass–primarily Yang and Decker.

But also on stage: Jeff Weiner (EVP, Network), Hilary Schneider (EVP, Global Partnership Solutions), Ash Patel (EVP, Platforms and Infrastructure) and even Blake Jorgensen, whose videos and general presentation got high marks from those I talked to (who knew a CFO could be so funny?).

The big idea of the day centered on a word Yang used a lot in the July investors’ meeting (where he also unfortunately promised a top-to-bottom review within 100 days and that there were “no sacred cows” at Yahoo): Ecosystem.

And by this, I think he means a virtuous circle of advertisers, publishers, consumers, all married together by great products and content. It’s a nice word for Yang’s vision, although as any high-school science student knows, ecosystems are very delicate and can get thrown out of whack easily (check out this lovely woodland one below and guess which Yahoo exec is the skunk!).

ecosystem

Among the key focuses of this ecosystem mentioned Friday was: the building out of Yahoo’s ad network, taking advantage of its “consumer insights”; the creation of a healthier corporate culture where fresh ideas could bubble up more effectively and be launched with less agony; and a new move to create a more open network a la Facebook on Yahoo for third-party developers to publish on and create more robust offerings.

Many were dubious about the latter and Yahoo’s ability to open itself up and become a truly accessible platform play, rather than just a good partner for publishers.

That’s because its portal origins are more a command-and-control, owned-and-operated style that will be hard to shake–kind of like The Wall Street Journal inviting outside reporters to contribute.

But it was a brilliant choice on the part of Yahoo leadership to use the halo effect of Jobs–whose story of struggle over adversity is well known–in focusing their execs toward the new direction for the company.

(And it is surely a quantum leap up from former CEO Terry Semel’s choice of the, shall we say, unusual musings of Tom Cruise as a motivational tactic.)

Yang interviewed the much more appropriate Jobs, admitting up front that he was “nervous” for the first time that day when he sat down to chat with the tech legend, whom Yang called one of his heroes.

Jobs basic message: You have great assets–just like Apple did–and now it is all about execution.

Thanks, Steve! (Although easy for him to say, given Yang does not exactly have the kind of emperor thing going for him in this regard as Jobs does).

Actually, execution has always been Yahoo’s weakness, so that’s the right way to frame it, given the Yahoo-as-loser theme really has not been the most accurate.

It’s hard to imagine another company with such amazing assets–traffic, those valuable consumer insights, a spate of terrific products–allowing itself to be written off so easily. Anyway, that’s my job!

All kidding aside, while ups and downs are certainly part of the business cycle, Yahoo has been wallowing in the down for longer than it needs to be without articulating both outwardly and inwardly what is needs to do and, more importantly, to be.

The Friday meeting seems to have solved that internally at least, with VPs going back to their jobs feeling jazzed up and ready to rumble.

Now, it will be up to Yang and Decker to keep up the enthusiasm they clearly generated at the Friday meeting, even up until the very end of the day by unveiling 10 key principles for the company (a lot on corporate culture and not very specific, but it’s good to write these things down).

To my mind, that means cutting deadwood and allowing employees to feel empowered. It means saying yes a lot more than no. It means making some big, bold and maybe even dumb moves in the areas targeted to shake a few trees. It means laser-focus on the promises made.

And it means perhaps even continuing to have meetings like this too, much more regularly and for everyone (by the way, rival Google has a company-wide, ask-the-execs-whatever event in Mountain View weekly, so steal that idea for starters).

And externally, Yahoo needs to come out of its corporate cave, where it has been living for far too long.

While that makes sense sometimes, Yahoo is simply indulging in a broken corporate mantra of not talking about what they are doing at all, because of an irksome “We’re not ready to show you” proclivity on every product or offering.

Web 3.0 is not secretive and will be very, very open. So I think we all know by now that being fussy perfectionists in a fast-moving world of tech is no longer advisable.

Take a lesson from Jobs–roll them out and keep up the momentum and excitement as you do. (Well, don’t copy his most recent cloddish moves to iBrick iPhones, which only reveals the dictatorial steel fist under the velvet glove way too much).

And even then, as Jobs does even when in trouble, don’t avoid the spotlight.

In other words: Call, write, we miss you. And, as a gesture of good faith, I officially invite Yang for breakfast at AllThingsD HQ–that would be the cottage behind my house–on Day 99 (Oct. 24!) of his No-Sacred-Cows Vision Quest.

Because like he said to his troops on Friday: After all, tomorrow is another day.

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Thursday, August 30, 2007

The New and Improved (??) Facebook of Yahoo

The photo montage and guide I did of the Facebook management ranks of late was well received, so it is clearly time for one for Yahoo, if only to aid those completely confused by all the comings and goings in upper management.

One difference compared to the all-male revue at Facebook (I know there are some fine women execs at the social network, but they are not at the tippy-top), women play key roles at Yahoo.

So here’s the latest dream team head shots and a little background on each below the photos:

yang

Yahoo co-founder and now CEO Jerry Yang is holed up on his 100-day vision quest, trying to channel some of the sass and energy of the early days of Yahoo, when life was a purple and yellow heaven of big, wet kisses from the press, a rocketing stock price and no irksome algorithm twins Larry and Sergey.

Those were the days, my friend, he thought they’d never end.

Well, they did–with a thump.

But Yang has been through a downturn before–remember 2001?–so it would be stupid to count him out.

Passionate, serious, often sarcastic (although I suspect that might just be to me and I deserve it), he is not the young fogey he appears to be. Plus, people at the company, for the most part, are rooting for him.

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Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Yahoo Earnings–I’m Not So OK After All, but That’s OK

So after this initial post yesterday, I had a chance to get a closer look at Yahoo’s earnings announcement and these are my four takeaways of its execs’ main points:

We know, it’s not good.

We have officially reached the bottom and things might even be looking up.

100 Days!

And no cows.

sacredcow

Sacred, that is, meaning no one at Yahoo is safe from the all-seeing eye of new CEO and Yahoo co-founder Jerry Yang.

“We want to dramatically improve our performance,” Yang said in a conference call with investors. “I am very well aware of the significant challenges we face.”

Indeed. Yahoo served up lowered expectations all around for the second quarter, with net income at $161 million, or 11 cents a share. This was down from a year ago–$164 million, or 11 cents a share. The quarterly revenue (excluding certain payments to ad partners) rose to $1.24 billion, up 11%.

And the Internet giant also dinged its prospects for the rest of the year, blaming a falloff in display advertising. Overall, that means between $4.9 billion and $5.19 billion in revenue, compared to previous forecasts between $4.95 billion and $5.45 billion.

One bright light: its long-in-the-making overhaul of its search ad system, called Panama, was showing gains of 15% to 20%.

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About Kara

Kara Swisher started covering digital issues for The Wall Street Journal's San Francisco bureau in 1997 and also wrote the BoomTown column about the sector. With Walt Mossberg, she co-produces and co-hosts D: All Things Digital, a major high-tech and media conference.

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Ethics Statement

Here is a statement of my ethics and coverage policies. It is more than most of you want to know, but, in the age of suspicion of the media, I am laying it all out.

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