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	<title>BoomTown &#187; McCoy</title>
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		<title>Memo to Carl: MicroHooGooCahnFace</title>
		<link>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080519/memo-to-carl-microhoogoocahnface/</link>
		<comments>http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080519/memo-to-carl-microhoogoocahnface/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 May 2008 13:14:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kara Swisher</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BoomTown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kara Swisher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social networking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carl Icahn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hatfield]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McCoy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Ballmer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[takeover]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Will Microsoft really fork over more than $15 billion to buy Facebook?

Or will it come back to the fractured table with Yahoo to buy parts of it or perhaps partner with it?

And Yahoo, oh woefully punch-drunk Yahoo--must it make a deal with Microsoft, try to get Google to pony up something good or face the wrath of Khan (we mean, Carl Icahn, of course, but we like a good pun!)?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will Microsoft really <a href="http://furrier.org/2008/05/19/silicon-valley-rumor-microsoft-to-buy-yahoo-search-and-then-facebook/">fork over more than $15 billion to buy Facebook</a>?</p>
<p>Or will it come back to the fractured table with <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080518/microsoft-to-buy-just-yahoos-search-business/">Yahoo to buy parts of it or perhaps partner with it</a>?</p>
<p>And Yahoo (YHOO), oh woefully punch-drunk Yahoo&#8211;must it make a deal with Microsoft (MSFT), try to get Google (GOOG) to pony up something good or face the wrath of Khan (we mean Carl Icahn, of course, but we like a good pun!)? </p>
<p>Will Facebook retain its much-boasted-of independence and IPO like Google, which it is also warring with over data portability? </p>
<p>And will Google keep thwarting Microsoft&#8217;s Yahoo overtures for Overture or will it finally decide to ignore everyone and just keep grabbing market share without much effort?</p>
<p><img src='http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/05/hatfrice.jpg' alt='hatfieldmccoy' /></p>
<p>Lastly, does Icahn, that pixie-ish billionaire investor now attacking Yahoo, yet get that Silicon Valley has become a geek version of the McCoys and the Hatfields, except that hillbilly feud was much, much easier to comprehend?</p>
<p>So, for Carl, who BoomTown feels needs some guidance badly, here are some purely speculative predictions:</p>
<p>1. As <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080507/microsofts-project-granola-facebook-tastier-than-yahoo/">reported in this column first</a>, Microsoft has recently made some serious efforts to buy Facebook and those travails are not likely to be over.</p>
<p>Point of fact: Even though the software giant preferred to buy the hot social-networking site, it invested $240 million for a minuscule stake, so you get the desperation level here, don&#8217;t you?</p>
<p>BoomTown thinks this deal is quite possible and sooner than later, if it happens. </p>
<p>Why, Carl? Because a lot of folks at Facebook tell me they worry that it will take a very long time to get to an IPO (think 2010, not 2009), given the company has to prove its business model and will not for a while. </p>
<p>And Facebook top execs have recently visited with Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer, but let&#8217;s not read anything into that yet, except to say that they are <em>very</em> friendly. </p>
<p>Plus Facebook just faced off with Google over data portability, which Google-hater-in-chief Microsoft doubtlessly loved.</p>
<p>But, as usual, CEO and Co-Founder Mark Zuckerberg, now in Japan on his <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080509/where-in-the-world-is-mark-zuckerberg/">work/play &#8220;Vision Quest&#8221; tour of the world</a> pushed aside such ideas.</p>
<p><a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUKT27219820080519">As quoted by Reuters</a>, while in Tokyo to launch a Japanese version of Facebook, Zuckerberg said:</p>
<p>&#8220;You can tell, from our history and what we&#8217;ve done, that we really wanted to keep the company independent, by focusing on building and focusing on the long-term.&#8221;</p>
<p>In other words, Microsoft-sale-friendly Facebookers: No private planes to France yet!</p>
<p>2. Microsoft and Yahoo will, of course, continue their talks, even after the collapse of their takeover debacle.</p>
<p>First, Yahoo has no choice but to look open, until it can either sign the Google ad outsourcing deal or figure something else out, so it can counter investor anger.</p>
<p>And Microsoft can&#8217;t hardly walk away from Yahoo, unless it has another game-changer (Facebook?) in mind to get some traction in the online space. </p>
<p>3. Ah, Google. More lucrative search market share than ever, according to the most recent reports from Hitwise.</p>
<p>So why does it need to be involved in this mess and would it be better for it just to chug along as others struggle?</p>
<p>Probably and probably what it will end up doing, until it inevitably faces its own undoing at some point down the line.</p>
<p><img src='http://kara.allthingsd.com/files/2008/05/johnwaynetruegrit.jpg' width='190' height='200; alt='truegrit' class='alignleft' /></p>
<p>And that would be? BoomTown guess: Google will eventually probably shoot itself by accident, as it gets too big and too powerful&#8211;much like what has happened at Microsoft&#8211;to sufficiently innovate anymore.</p>
<p>Because like the Hatfields and the McCoys, it might all be fun and games now, but sooner or later someone&#8217;s going to lose an eye.</p>
<p>My advice, Carl, so you don&#8217;t end up looking like John Wayne in &#8220;True Grit&#8221;?</p>
<p>Come armed. And <em>duck</em>. Early and often.</p>
<p><em>Please see <a href="http://allthingsd.com/about/kara-swisher/ethics/">this disclosure</a> related to me and Google.</em></p>
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